Be careful what you wish for, MSM . . .
Joe Scarborough has predicted that Nancy Pelosi is “most likely going to be the next Speaker of the House.” Speaking on today’s Morning Joe, Scarborough’s theory was that the Republican leadership will try to push through a tax reform bill without letting rank-and-file House members participate in the process, and that as a result it will fail, as did the effort to repeal and replace Obamacare.
Could Joe’s prediction come true? Sure. It would require House Dems in the 2018 mid-term elections to increase their numbers by about 24 seats. According to Politifact, “in midterms since 1862, the president’s party has averaged losses of about 32 seats in the House.”
So feasible? Yes. But ironically, the best thing the Republicans will have going for them in stopping Nancy Pelosi from becoming Speaker . . . is Nancy Pelosi herself. Tying Dem candidates to Pelosi has been a winning GOP play for years. Pelosi’s approval rating is an abysmal 29%, lower than Speaker Paul Ryan’s, and much lower than President Trump’s 41%. So look for lots of Republican ads of Dem candidates morphing into Pelosi.
And if by chance Pelosi did become Speaker after the 2018 elections, the biggest winner would likely be . . . Donald Trump. Can you imagine the field day Trump would have in a 2020 re-election campaign in running not just against the Dem presidential candidate, but against Pelosi herself?
JOE SCARBOROUGH: It’s the same thing with tax reform. We’re going to reform the IRS code and we’re going to do it by getting three or four people in a back room. There’s going to be absolutely no transparency. We’re going to shove it out onto the floor of the House and the Senate, and we’re going to demand that people vote for something that’s not actually even a good bill. Something that will destroy future generations’ability to dig out of the debt. And then we’re going to get angry with them for voting against a bill that we never allowed them to be a part of.
That’s how it ends. That’s how it’s ended for over eight months in this administration, Mika . . . They’re doing the same thing over and over again and it’s not going to work, and Donald Trump is going to remain shocked and Nancy Pelosi is going to have her shot at it. Because she’s most likely going to be the next Speaker of the House.
Photo credit: Washington Examiner